This weekend we have a free Card on big FOX. We’re finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez following their first battle ended in a No Contest. These are just two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to see an wonderful fight here. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out with this particular card and I was surprised to see a $20k top prize in their main tournament. That is what I will be pursuing and I will be making a lot of LUs to throw to that. Here are a few plays I enjoy for Saturday and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an easy method to start my cash LU this week and I anticipate this to be very popular in all money game formats. These two were on pace to get a top scoring struggle in their first battle and I believe we have an easy 100+ involving the two of them here. I believe the winner of the fight will score over 100 points themselves and then we add all the sig strikes and other things from the loser also. But we guarantee ourselves the win. The only way this fight doesn’t score more than a hundred DK points is somebody gets kneed in the mind prohibited and the fight is stopped brief….
GPP drama of the week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I think that this matchup was set up to get Dawodu a triumph. I also believe Islam Makhachev, who is $200 more, will probably be very highly possessed and this could be a good pivot him off to distinguish your LU a bit. I do think Dawodu will gain some good ownership too but I think he is a good GPP play this week. I feel the most likely outcome in this fight is Dawodu getting a (T)KO win. He must pay off his $9.4k salary if this is the situation, particularly if it is early. He’s a really good striker and we didn’t get to find out that in his UFC debut at which he was upset very early in the fight. This is the best fit for him to showcase his striking and why there was so much hype behind him moving to his debut. I think we could observe a 1st round KO here which makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP play of this week.
Underdog drama of the week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The most important reason Cutelaba is that my underdog drama of the week is because there’s not any way he is not scoring at least 10x if he can get the win. He has big power and could get a 1st round KO here and score over 100 DK points. If he does this with his cheap salary of $7.6k he will certainly be in the winning lineup. This is a good fight to target either side but points per salary wise, Cutelaba has one of those ceilings on the card. I don’t see this battle going to decision and the winner should score highly. I think if you are making multiple lineups this weekend you should definitely have exposure to Cutelaba.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I am fading a few fighters this week , but the person I never even considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I do not think she could win, because she for sure can. But I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I think we’d need a finish from her in this fight to receive 10x that wages and I think that is quite unlikely to take place. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points. That wouldn’t be enough here to put her in the winning lineup at her 8.7k price tag. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you can safely fade Chookagian and when she gets a triumph it shouldn’t hurt much.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my private approaches & suggestions, and my pick prediction for every single fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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