View the bets for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial advantage benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably bigger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is more technical with sharp combinations and harmful power. He’s a good camp but his main weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in several recent fights.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and crazy fighter and his style looks to struggle against more technical competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he’s looked vulnerable and flat in every fight. It appears Cub is really on a a downturn that’s not surprising given his own era in a division where speed is king. It must be noted that many of Cub’s losses have begun to top 10 opposition, but it’s his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This battle ought to be entertaining with both men eager to stand and commerce. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close fight, but we hope to find a declining veteran who can’t keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos to get the win , likely from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and also the hometown fighter is taking on the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking compared to his opponent and holds a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he has not shown the most effective initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he has shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, largely throwing his looping right hand to set up level changes. He averages an absurd amount of takedown attempts each fight, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for extended periods.
In this fight it is possible Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has lots of skills to avoid getting stuck on his back. More time on the toes for Katona means he will be in control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This ought to be a close battle where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he is fighting a branch his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in every area of the fight. On the feet he’s defensively sound and fights long using his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the space. Prepolec enjoys to get in near but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are slower and he should be open to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a large factor where Prepolec has demonstrated a tendency to get out muscled in the grappling section by much smaller and less talented fighters compared to Taleb. This is likely his safest route to success where he likely dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are simply too many barriers to overcome and whilst the odds are short, this looks to be a simple win.
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