Following a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal Strategy in Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night at the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman made his first Cup series victory last week and he has +1800 chances to replicate, but it is Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed closely by Denny Hamlin in +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick in +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races in Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings during that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has only two victories.
There hasn’t been a repeat winner at this track since Jimmie Johnson did so from the two races at 2013. Denny Hamlin looks to become the latest driver to do it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the last 17 races at Daytona has got the winner started on the pole and that was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting place for the motorist who carried the checkered flag during that interval was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series career last week at Chicagoland and has had great qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He’s started first or second in each of the past three runnings in this course, but has finished 10th or worse, so until he can find the exact same rate from the race, I will stay away.
Logano (+700) has had better success throughout the Daytona 500 than he has at the midseason race at this course. In the 500, he has an average finish position of 13.28, for example winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 from the July race and has crashed in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has had a series of bad luck at Daytona lately, having dropped in four of the last five races but six races back in this course, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, yet another restrictor-plate track, so he knows the way to compete in those races. Start looking for him to be in the search Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) not as a favorite sounds to be an automatic wager, but Daytona has become the better of him for most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s just three top-five endings there on the last 14 races, however he had been the most runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I’ve been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he hadn’t shown evidence of his former dominant self until last week. He seemed powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of those five races in Daytona since switching to Ford at 2017 however he led multiple laps at three of these runnings. Assuming that he keeps his nose clean, this may be a fantastic spot for Harvick.
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