So it comes down to this. The final race of this long NASCAR season. After 35 points paying races, the final 4 drivers who will race for the championship Sunday have been determined.
Since the removal format to pick a winner was introduced two years back the champion has even won the race. Odds are then the winner of this race Sunday will even wear the Cup crown. Others can triumph, but three of the previous five race winners dating back to Tony Stewart in 2011, also have won the title, so don’t be shocked if the driver celebrating a race win in victory lane Sunday, is also celebrating his championship.
Here is how it shakes out one of the four finalists for Sunday’s 36th race of this year for your gambling or fantasy racing leagues. Driver Ratings are accumulated from 2005-2016 races (23 total) among active drivers in Phoenix. The Driver Rating is a number based on a formula developed by NASCAR which combines”loop info” elements such as average running position, average speed under green, number of workouts, and other stats. There’s a maximum of 150 points that a driver can make for every race. The odds are current as of Wednesday.
1. Carl Edwards (7-1). Edwards has just two wins here and the highest driver evaluation one of the 4, 109.4. The only driver among the Championship 4 having a number of wins at Homestead, Edwards still has memories of losing the race, along with the title, to Tony Stewart in 2011. Part of the Joe Gibbs Racing team, Edwards will be seeking redemption Sunday, and he might just get it.
2. Jimmie Johnson (7-2). Homestead is one of the few tracks in NASCAR which Johnson hasn’t won at. He works well here and gets the second greatest driver evaluation of the 4, 96.7. Johnson will want to make history Sunday with a seventh title. When he brings his”A” game and may prevent some of the miscues the team has suffered this season at times, Johnson could pull it off.
3. Kyle Busch (5-1). Busch is looking to defend his name, earned with a win at Homestead last year. He has the third greatest driver evaluation, 95.5. But he hardly left the Championship 4, and has struggled sometimes. But with one last race and an opportunity to bring another title, and Joe Gibbs rebounds Busch could be able to add another win, and another title.
4. Joey Logano (7-1). Logano is possibly the underdog one of the Championship 4. He’s never won at Homestead, has the lowest driver evaluation among the area, 83.5. But Logano finished fourth here last year and led the 2nd most laps in the race,” 72. Logano was surprising at times this year and he could surely be a surprise Sunday by winning his first Cup title.
OTHERS: There will be a total of 36 other motorists trying to acquire Sunday. Chief among them, Matt Kenseth (12-1). Kenseth has the 2nd greatest driver rating one of the area, 108.4, also won here in 2007. Coming off a disappointing finish at Phoenix a week, Kenseth will be looking to make a strong statement. Kevin Harvick (6-1) was also disappointed a week since he failed to make the cut for the first time since the removal format began. He also won the raceand the name in 2014, has the fifth greatest driver evaluation, 104.3, and may add another win to his Homestead resume Sunday.
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway will be conducted on Sunday, November 20. Live coverage is going to be on NBC starting at 2:00 p.m. ET with the green flag coming just after 2:30 p.m. ET.
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