Diamondbacks over wins
They took some serious hits to last year’s 82-win group, but they should get plausible starts from all five areas of their spinning. It is hard to be that bad with an above-average rotation: FanGraphs’ projections have them at 79 wins, and Baseball Prospectus’ forecast is for 81, presuming there isn’t more midseason tearing down to come. — Sam Miller
Astros to win the American League West (-800)
The Astros won their division every one of the past two decades, and they’re basically guaranteed to do this again. The Mariners and the Rangers are rebuilding, the A’s can’t possibly repeat what they did last year and the Angels do not have nearly as much gift. The Astros are mad good. — Alden Gonzalez
Six months have passed and I’m still not certain how the A’s won 97 games. They’ll be good again, but not that good. And certainly not as good as Houston. — Eddie Matz
Brewers over 86.5 wins
Think that the 2015 Royals or the 2016 Cubs. Milwaukee has unfinished business, such as those teams had the preceding seasons. And this is not even a World Series forecast — only the Brewers won’t drop over nine games away from their 96-win complete of last year. — Jesse Rogers
Reds beneath 78.5 wins
The Reds will be able to hit, but I’m not sure they’ve any chance at slowing down their opponents, which is a major issue in a wealthy National League Central. I think that they will struggle in that branch in a major way this year, and if they are even close to repeating a league-worst 10-29 mark in one-run games, this under is a lock. — Kyle Soppe
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