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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the toes and a durable style to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated competitive striker for the division, he was very competitive. Perry is strong in the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could harness the ground game as he’s underrated wrestling, however, he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a common issue and here against Perry that might be a big mistake. He has big power himself but both men are quite hittable. On the toes it likely favours Perry, at least for the first half of the fight when he’s most dangerous. Look for a back and on war, with the durability of Perry making the gap — as both men consume serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a 3 fight losing streak but has been competitive in most fights going back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old he brings a not as aggressive fashion nowadays which has lead to six sequential decisions. His output looks to be slowing his exact boxing style stays, permitting him to function behind a jab against slower competitions. Sakai is considerably younger so could still be improving, but so far has failed to impress. He’s big and yells powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with reduced quantity. Primarily a boxer, Arlovski will not need to be worried about too many other weapons.
This is very likely to be a slow fight with the effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai in the exterior or use his wrestling to hold him against the fence. If he can avoid becoming caught a determination here is likely for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt making her UFC debut with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst restricted with striking, she is constant with takedowns and has a wide array of methods to get fights to the floor. On top she is quite solid, keeping control and attacking subs. That is obviously a large step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not shown great takedown defense to coincide with her wrestling skills. She would be best to attempt to keep this battle standing where her enhanced striking should have the ability to edge out volume.
Jandiroba is not shown at this level but looks to be the real deal, demonstrating exceptional method and composure. Worst case situation Esparza can defend off her back and make scrambles to force striking exchanges, taking us to a close decision. A much better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and securing a unanimous conclusion or locating a entry. An Esparza finish is very unlikely. Given the odds and various avenues to success, a shot to the newcomer at even money is fantastic value.
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