Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night in the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory last week and he’s +1800 chances to replicate, but it’s Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick at +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer in +1400 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races in Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has only two victories.
There has not been a repeat winner in this course since Jimmie Johnson did thus in the two races at 2013. Denny Hamlin appears to become the latest driver to do it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Only once over the past 17 races in Daytona has the winner started on the pole which was Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 2015. The average starting position for the driver who transported the checkered flag during the span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood last week at Chicagoland and has had good qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He has begun first or second in each of the last three runnings in this course, but has completed 10th or worse, therefore until he can come across the same speed from the race, I’ll stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success during the Daytona 500 than he has in the midseason race in this course. From the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 from the July race and has crashed in each of the past two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a string of terrible luck at Daytona recently, having crashed in four of the past five races but six races ago at this course, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, another restrictor-plate monitor, so he knows the way to compete in those races. Start looking for him to be in the search Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) less a favorite sounds like an automated bet, but Daytona has gotten the better of him most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he’s driven to victory lane at Daytona, and he has just three top-five endings there over the last 14 races, however he had been the most runner-up in this season’s Daytona 500.
I have been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long since he had not shown signs of his former dominant self before last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but finally finished 14th. Harvick has dropped in four of the five races at Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps in three of those runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this could be a good place for Harvick.
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