When it will not be the biggest battle sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the season. On top of this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two additional name bouts, contenders and entertaining fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a look at where the betting odds have moved for all 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his thoughts on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two scrapped and a few naively anticipated the lineup could be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect anticipated on the line. It is hard to attribute bettors Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some tough battles since their first meeting, and Jones won every aspect of that first fight. Expect something like – if not more dominant – that time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the kind of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the ultimate occasion. Cormier is his main rival and he’s the chance to recover the belt that he never lost against him. That combination will lead to a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line hasn’t seen much movement. Given that the contrasting styles, that is not hard to believe. There is a contingent of people who think that Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They might well be right. The other side of this coin consists of people who think that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They are right too. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and perform counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch when not under stress that he should have the ability to create Woodley overlook after. Even against a high-level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that’s a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting traditional takedowns is next to none (he has perfected the single leg to back take) and Woodley being the kind of man who likes to explode out of places will only hurt him after that happens. It is sort of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an excess dollar (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley won’t have the ability to survive 25 moments of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wishes to. The other choice is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ at Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable is dependent on which kind of bettor you’re. In case you don’t have any issue throwing a huge lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are almost sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will be placing nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a drama is based on Evinger’s strength. She has taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she likely won’t return to beat Cyborg in this one after a rough beginning, there is an outside shot she can endure five minutes. However, even the prices for”Fight Starts Round 2″ and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less appealing even to someone who is constantly on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this fight is occurring after both guys have seemingly passed their peak in terms of durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best are a thing to behold. This battle will return to space direction and in-fight choices. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone would like to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will gradually see him get indoors and at the point, expect Cerrone to be much too willing to oblige him that the war he is looking for. While that will give us the kind of fight we would like to view, do not expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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